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Leon Liao's avatar

Well written piece. But I think the sample is too small and too Beijing-centered.

Beijing and Shanghai are not China. They are China’s political and financial front windows, heavily curated, expensive, cosmopolitan, and often emotionally distorted by elite pressure. If one wants to understand today’s China, it is essential to spend time in second- and third-tier cities: Hefei, Changsha, Chengdu, Suzhou, Foshan, Zhengzhou, Xi’an, Wuxi, Ningbo, or many smaller manufacturing cities.

That is where much of China’s real transformation is happening: industrial upgrading, EV adoption, logistics networks, local fiscal stress, youth employment pressure, factory automation, service consumption, real estate adjustment, and the everyday confidence or anxiety of ordinary households.

A few days in Beijing can produce sharp impressions, but it can also turn a very specific urban elite atmosphere into a general diagnosis of China. The country is too large, too uneven, and too internally dynamic for that.

Gabriel's avatar

Interesting observations! I have just got back from a trip back to Beijing myself, and will soon write something about it. Everyone notices different things, and it was interesting for instance to know that you noticed more tarot shops and interest in spirituality than before.

I just have one little quibble: you seem to be saying that less people speak English in Beijing compared to a decade ago. I really don't think that's true. It seems to me that the most educated and cosmopolitan classes speak English better than they used to, while the rest of the population doesn't, but then they didn't ten or twenty years ago either.

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